NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAT WCU
Points 75.2 75.0
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 28.5
Points From Free Throws 14.0 11.2
Shooting CHAT WCU
Field Goals Made 26.5 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 64.5
Field Goal % 45.1% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 14.0 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 16.0
Free Throw % 75.3% 70.0%
Ball Control CHAT WCU
Rebounds 36.5 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 11.0
Turnovers 8.3 7.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 4.2 3.8
Fouls 13.5 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chattanooga

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAT WCU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 74.1
% of Possessions with CHAT WCU
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 30.5%
Player Fouled 20.8% 19.1%
Turnover 11.8% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAT WCU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 27.5%