NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAT TNTC
Points 80.4 65.0
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.7 22.8
Points From Free Throws 10.9 9.9
Shooting CHAT TNTC
Field Goals Made 29.0 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 58.3
Field Goal % 49.2% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 28.0 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 62.0% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 10.9 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 14.2
Free Throw % 75.3% 69.5%
Ball Control CHAT TNTC
Rebounds 38.9 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.5 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 6.2
Turnovers 9.8 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.1
Steals 5.9 4.9
Fouls 13.3 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAT TNTC
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 66.4
% of Possessions with CHAT TNTC
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 39.2% 28.8%
Player Fouled 17.7% 19.2%
Turnover 14.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAT TNTC
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 16.8%