NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAT VT
Points 72.2 79.9
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 29.5
Points From Free Throws 11.7 15.3
Shooting CHAT VT
Field Goals Made 25.7 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 59.2
Field Goal % 45.5% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 11.7 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 19.2
Free Throw % 75.3% 79.8%
Ball Control CHAT VT
Rebounds 33.8 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.1
Turnovers 11.6 7.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.5
Steals 4.9 5.8
Fouls 15.7 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Chattanooga

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAT VT
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 70.6
% of Possessions with CHAT VT
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 33.8%
Player Fouled 18.4% 22.5%
Turnover 16.6% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAT VT
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 23.8%