NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU CHAR
Points 64.1 73.2
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 22.3
Points From Free Throws 9.8 19.9
Shooting ODU CHAR
Field Goals Made 24.1 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 51.1
Field Goal % 39.9% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 9.8 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 26.4
Free Throw % 65.9% 75.2%
Ball Control ODU CHAR
Rebounds 32.6 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.4
Turnovers 8.6 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.4
Steals 6.3 4.5
Fouls 17.1 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU CHAR
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 66.9
% of Possessions with ODU CHAR
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 28.1%
Player Fouled 17.9% 25.0%
Turnover 12.5% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU CHAR
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 26.3%