NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU ILL
Points 66.8 92.2
Total Points   159.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 29.8
Points From Free Throws 9.1 24.3
Shooting ODU ILL
Field Goals Made 25.9 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 66.9 58.8
Field Goal % 38.8% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 48.6 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 9.1 24.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 33.0
Free Throw % 65.9% 73.8%
Ball Control ODU ILL
Rebounds 29.2 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 13.8
Turnovers 7.8 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.1
Steals 5.4 4.0
Fouls 18.7 11.3

Playing Style Advantage: Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU ILL
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 78.9
% of Possessions with ODU ILL
2 Point Attempt 57.9% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 28.7%
Player Fouled 15.3% 25.2%
Turnover 10.6% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU ILL
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 39.8%