NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU WKU
Points 74.3 80.2
Total Points   154.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 23.8
Points From Free Throws 11.6 18.2
Shooting ODU WKU
Field Goals Made 27.3 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 64.5 60.6
Field Goal % 42.3% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 11.6 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 25.0
Free Throw % 65.9% 72.7%
Ball Control ODU WKU
Rebounds 34.7 42.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 32.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.5
Turnovers 11.2 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.4
Steals 7.3 6.3
Fouls 17.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU WKU
Total Possessions 77.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 75.3
% of Possessions with ODU WKU
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 24.8%
Player Fouled 18.4% 21.9%
Turnover 14.3% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU WKU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 28.3%