NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU RICE
Points 72.9 75.5
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 27.9
Points From Free Throws 9.0 16.2
Shooting ODU RICE
Field Goals Made 27.5 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 65.0 57.0
Field Goal % 42.3% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 9.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 23.4
Free Throw % 65.9% 69.2%
Ball Control ODU RICE
Rebounds 34.9 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.3
Turnovers 8.7 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.9
Steals 7.6 4.6
Fouls 15.7 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU RICE
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 71.0
% of Possessions with ODU RICE
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 29.9%
Player Fouled 15.9% 21.8%
Turnover 12.1% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU RICE
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 28.8%