NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU UNI
Points 67.1 76.7
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 24.4
Points From Free Throws 9.8 20.7
Shooting ODU UNI
Field Goals Made 25.0 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 52.9
Field Goal % 41.5% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 9.8 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 29.2
Free Throw % 65.9% 70.8%
Ball Control ODU UNI
Rebounds 32.7 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.4
Turnovers 10.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.9
Steals 6.6 5.6
Fouls 18.2 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU UNI
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 70.1
% of Possessions with ODU UNI
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 27.3%
Player Fouled 18.5% 25.4%
Turnover 14.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU UNI
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 24.9%