NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU GSU
Points 74.6 79.0
Total Points   153.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 26.4
Points From Free Throws 13.1 16.5
Shooting ODU GSU
Field Goals Made 27.3 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 64.9 62.4
Field Goal % 42.1% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 13.1 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 22.0
Free Throw % 65.9% 75.0%
Ball Control ODU GSU
Rebounds 38.4 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.4
Turnovers 8.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.2
Steals 5.9 4.2
Fouls 15.2 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU GSU
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 76.7 75.2
% of Possessions with ODU GSU
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 28.9%
Player Fouled 19.2% 20.5%
Turnover 11.1% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU GSU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 27.1%