NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU ECU
Points 68.9 73.5
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 23.7
Points From Free Throws 10.0 17.8
Shooting ODU ECU
Field Goals Made 25.5 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 56.5
Field Goal % 42.5% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 10.0 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 25.9
Free Throw % 65.9% 68.6%
Ball Control ODU ECU
Rebounds 34.4 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 12.0
Turnovers 10.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.2
Steals 6.2 6.5
Fouls 15.7 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU ECU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 72.4
% of Possessions with ODU ECU
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 27.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 22.1%
Turnover 15.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU ECU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 32.2%