NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU NORF
Points 70.3 72.1
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 19.7
Points From Free Throws 13.3 19.3
Shooting ODU NORF
Field Goals Made 24.0 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 54.8
Field Goal % 42.0% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.3 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 26.9
Free Throw % 65.9% 71.8%
Ball Control ODU NORF
Rebounds 34.5 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.6
Turnovers 11.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.1
Steals 6.0 6.5
Fouls 17.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU NORF
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 70.9
% of Possessions with ODU NORF
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 22.6%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.9%
Turnover 16.2% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU NORF
Shot Blocked 5.7% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 29.8%