NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU CWM
Points 74.7 69.2
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 23.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 29.6
Points From Free Throws 11.6 16.2
Shooting ODU CWM
Field Goals Made 28.1 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 56.4
Field Goal % 46.8% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 11.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 26.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 30.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 24.0
Free Throw % 65.9% 67.7%
Ball Control ODU CWM
Rebounds 36.3 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.0
Turnovers 8.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.5 1.9
Steals 6.6 4.0
Fouls 16.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU CWM
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 70.5
% of Possessions with ODU CWM
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 31.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 36.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.9%
Turnover 11.7% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU CWM
Shot Blocked 3.4% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 28.3%