NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEH BUCK
Points 66.3 67.9
Total Points   134.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 24.6
Points From Free Throws 14.0 10.6
Shooting LEH BUCK
Field Goals Made 22.8 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 53.8
Field Goal % 41.6% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.0 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 15.1
Free Throw % 72.8% 70.3%
Ball Control LEH BUCK
Rebounds 32.5 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 6.7
Turnovers 9.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.8
Steals 6.7 5.9
Fouls 14.5 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEH BUCK
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 63.2
% of Possessions with LEH BUCK
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 30.6%
Player Fouled 22.9% 21.2%
Turnover 14.5% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEH BUCK
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 21.0%