NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEH YALE
Points 64.8 76.6
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 21.6
Points From Free Throws 12.2 12.1
Shooting LEH YALE
Field Goals Made 22.9 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 56.8
Field Goal % 41.2% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 12.2 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 17.3
Free Throw % 72.8% 69.8%
Ball Control LEH YALE
Rebounds 29.9 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 7.0
Turnovers 10.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.9
Steals 5.7 6.0
Fouls 15.4 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Yale

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEH YALE
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 67.3
% of Possessions with LEH YALE
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 24.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.0%
Turnover 15.2% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEH YALE
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 16.4% 22.3%