NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEH AMER
Points 69.0 68.4
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 24.4
Points From Free Throws 12.4 10.4
Shooting LEH AMER
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 53.0
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 12.4 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 14.6
Free Throw % 72.8% 71.6%
Ball Control LEH AMER
Rebounds 29.7 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 6.5
Turnovers 10.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 1.7 1.5
Steals 5.8 5.3
Fouls 14.4 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Lehigh

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEH AMER
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.6 62.2
% of Possessions with LEH AMER
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 30.4%
Player Fouled 23.3% 21.4%
Turnover 15.3% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEH AMER
Shot Blocked 2.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 21.5%