NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEH LAF
Points 65.8 64.8
Total Points   130.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 20.8
Points From Free Throws 14.1 9.2
Shooting LEH LAF
Field Goals Made 22.6 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 56.6
Field Goal % 40.8% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 9.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 13.5
Free Throw % 72.8% 68.2%
Ball Control LEH LAF
Rebounds 35.3 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 6.6
Turnovers 10.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.9
Steals 6.4 6.1
Fouls 13.2 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEH LAF
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 65.0
% of Possessions with LEH LAF
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 27.6%
Player Fouled 21.9% 18.9%
Turnover 15.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEH LAF
Shot Blocked 8.7% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 19.1%