NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEH COLG
Points 63.0 71.1
Total Points   134.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 20.5
Points From Free Throws 10.9 10.4
Shooting LEH COLG
Field Goals Made 22.9 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 55.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 10.9 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 15.6
Free Throw % 72.8% 66.6%
Ball Control LEH COLG
Rebounds 31.4 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 6.4
Turnovers 10.2 10.7
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.7
Steals 6.1 6.0
Fouls 13.0 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEH COLG
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 64.9
% of Possessions with LEH COLG
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 25.7%
Player Fouled 17.9% 18.8%
Turnover 14.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEH COLG
Shot Blocked 6.8% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 20.4%