NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEH BU
Points 68.6 67.1
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 22.8
Points From Free Throws 15.0 11.9
Shooting LEH BU
Field Goals Made 23.1 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 55.5
Field Goal % 43.5% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 15.0 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 16.4
Free Throw % 72.8% 72.2%
Ball Control LEH BU
Rebounds 32.3 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.5 7.4
Turnovers 10.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.7
Steals 6.9 6.2
Fouls 14.2 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Lehigh

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEH BU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 65.8
% of Possessions with LEH BU
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 27.9%
Player Fouled 23.6% 20.2%
Turnover 15.2% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEH BU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 16.8% 21.6%