NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU BAY
Points 68.0 67.7
Total Points   135.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 19.7
Points From Free Throws 10.5 14.4
Shooting WVU BAY
Field Goals Made 24.2 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 57.1
Field Goal % 43.9% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 10.5 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 19.0
Free Throw % 69.7% 75.8%
Ball Control WVU BAY
Rebounds 32.1 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.0
Turnovers 9.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.2
Steals 5.0 5.1
Fouls 14.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Baylor

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU BAY
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 68.9
% of Possessions with WVU BAY
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.8% 27.2%
Player Fouled 19.7% 22.1%
Turnover 14.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU BAY
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 33.3%