NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSM QUIN
Points 72.2 74.7
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 22.8
Points From Free Throws 10.4 12.9
Shooting MSM QUIN
Field Goals Made 27.3 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 63.2
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 10.4 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 16.9
Free Throw % 71.9% 76.5%
Ball Control MSM QUIN
Rebounds 36.3 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.2
Turnovers 13.3 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.1
Steals 5.9 8.9
Fouls 12.1 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Mt St Marys

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSM QUIN
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 73.4
% of Possessions with MSM QUIN
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 25.3%
Player Fouled 17.5% 16.7%
Turnover 18.4% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSM QUIN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 29.6%