NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring APP SCST
Points 80.7 59.6
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.7 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 16.8
Points From Free Throws 16.7 10.8
Shooting APP SCST
Field Goals Made 28.8 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 68.0
Field Goal % 51.3% 31.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 49.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 32.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 16.7 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 15.4
Free Throw % 69.5% 70.0%
Ball Control APP SCST
Rebounds 42.8 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 32.9 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 15.1
Turnovers 11.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 6.6 2.6
Steals 5.9 7.6
Fouls 11.9 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: App State

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APP SCST
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 77.2
% of Possessions with APP SCST
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 54.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 20.4%
Player Fouled 23.9% 16.3%
Turnover 16.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken APP SCST
Shot Blocked 4.0% 11.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 31.5%