NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring APP GASO
Points 82.9 68.5
Total Points   151.5
Points From 2-Pointers 46.0 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 25.5
Points From Free Throws 17.7 9.4
Shooting APP GASO
Field Goals Made 29.4 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 67.4
Field Goal % 48.6% 37.5%
2 Pointers Made 23.0 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 39.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 17.7 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 13.2
Free Throw % 69.5% 71.5%
Ball Control APP GASO
Rebounds 44.3 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.6
Turnovers 9.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 6.6 3.3
Steals 5.8 6.3
Fouls 11.2 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APP GASO
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.1 74.4
% of Possessions with APP GASO
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 28.6%
Player Fouled 23.1% 15.1%
Turnover 13.3% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken APP GASO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 11.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 24.5%