NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring APP IONA
Points 77.8 63.1
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 45.0 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 22.2
Points From Free Throws 13.6 8.4
Shooting APP IONA
Field Goals Made 28.9 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 67.2
Field Goal % 51.9% 35.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 44.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.2% 37.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 13.6 8.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 12.7
Free Throw % 69.5% 66.3%
Ball Control APP IONA
Rebounds 43.2 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.6
Turnovers 11.9 8.0
Blocked Shots 6.0 2.3
Steals 4.5 8.0
Fouls 10.8 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: App State

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APP IONA
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 73.8
% of Possessions with APP IONA
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 27.5%
Player Fouled 21.6% 15.1%
Turnover 16.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken APP IONA
Shot Blocked 3.6% 10.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 23.7%