NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSM IONA
Points 69.7 69.8
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 25.0
Points From Free Throws 11.5 10.9
Shooting MSM IONA
Field Goals Made 25.8 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 61.2
Field Goal % 49.6% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 11.5 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 16.4
Free Throw % 71.9% 66.3%
Ball Control MSM IONA
Rebounds 37.4 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.6
Turnovers 16.0 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.9
Steals 5.0 10.3
Fouls 12.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSM IONA
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 71.0
% of Possessions with MSM IONA
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 29.5%
Player Fouled 20.1% 17.8%
Turnover 22.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 14.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSM IONA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 24.7%