NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU TCU
Points 71.8 82.0
Total Points   153.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 25.8
Points From Free Throws 15.6 15.0
Shooting WVU TCU
Field Goals Made 24.6 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 62.5
Field Goal % 46.3% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 15.6 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 20.6
Free Throw % 70.4% 72.7%
Ball Control WVU TCU
Rebounds 31.3 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 12.4
Turnovers 13.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.2
Steals 4.1 9.0
Fouls 14.0 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU TCU
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 75.3
% of Possessions with WVU TCU
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 26.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 19.3%
Turnover 19.0% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU TCU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 34.2%