NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU TEX
Points 67.8 80.3
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 27.0
Points From Free Throws 14.9 13.0
Shooting WVU TEX
Field Goals Made 23.1 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 60.6
Field Goal % 42.8% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 14.9 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 17.0
Free Throw % 70.4% 76.5%
Ball Control WVU TEX
Rebounds 32.2 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 9.4
Turnovers 12.1 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.5
Steals 3.8 7.3
Fouls 13.3 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU TEX
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 70.9
% of Possessions with WVU TEX
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 30.6%
Player Fouled 23.5% 18.9%
Turnover 17.2% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU TEX
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 28.1%