NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU PITT
Points 66.8 80.5
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 37.3
Points From Free Throws 13.5 12.8
Shooting WVU PITT
Field Goals Made 23.1 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 62.2
Field Goal % 42.9% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 13.5 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 17.6
Free Throw % 70.4% 73.0%
Ball Control WVU PITT
Rebounds 33.3 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 10.7
Turnovers 11.2 6.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.9
Steals 3.0 6.9
Fouls 13.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU PITT
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 72.7
% of Possessions with WVU PITT
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 40.5%
Player Fouled 22.3% 19.7%
Turnover 16.3% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU PITT
Shot Blocked 8.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 28.9%