NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring APP GSU
Points 82.2 67.7
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 48.4 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 19.7
Points From Free Throws 14.9 9.7
Shooting APP GSU
Field Goals Made 30.5 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 64.0 69.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 36.8%
2 Pointers Made 24.2 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 48.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 39.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 14.9 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 12.9
Free Throw % 69.5% 75.0%
Ball Control APP GSU
Rebounds 46.1 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 34.5 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.3
Turnovers 8.0 7.6
Blocked Shots 6.4 2.2
Steals 4.5 4.8
Fouls 11.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: App State

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APP GSU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 77.2 76.3
% of Possessions with APP GSU
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 56.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 24.4%
Player Fouled 20.4% 15.1%
Turnover 10.9% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken APP GSU
Shot Blocked 3.2% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 23.0%