NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSM SPU
Points 64.3 64.2
Total Points   128.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 18.0
Points From Free Throws 13.0 15.1
Shooting MSM SPU
Field Goals Made 22.9 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 56.4
Field Goal % 43.7% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 39.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 13.0 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 21.3
Free Throw % 71.9% 71.2%
Ball Control MSM SPU
Rebounds 35.7 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 11.4
Turnovers 14.2 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.3
Steals 5.4 8.0
Fouls 15.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSM SPU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 69.4
% of Possessions with MSM SPU
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 21.2%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.8%
Turnover 20.6% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSM SPU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 29.9%