NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU TTU
Points 71.5 80.7
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 33.9
Points From Free Throws 12.7 14.6
Shooting WVU TTU
Field Goals Made 25.6 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 59.8
Field Goal % 45.4% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 12.7 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 18.7
Free Throw % 70.4% 78.5%
Ball Control WVU TTU
Rebounds 33.2 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.1
Turnovers 11.1 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.6
Steals 3.6 6.4
Fouls 13.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU TTU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 71.0
% of Possessions with WVU TTU
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 36.9%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.9%
Turnover 15.9% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU TTU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 29.3%