NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU KSU
Points 69.8 75.1
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 27.4
Points From Free Throws 16.9 15.5
Shooting WVU KSU
Field Goals Made 23.0 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 57.3
Field Goal % 40.4% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 16.9 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 21.5
Free Throw % 70.4% 71.9%
Ball Control WVU KSU
Rebounds 34.5 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.7
Turnovers 10.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.1
Steals 5.2 5.8
Fouls 15.3 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU KSU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 70.7
% of Possessions with WVU KSU
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 35.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 32.5%
Player Fouled 24.2% 21.3%
Turnover 14.6% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU KSU
Shot Blocked 7.2% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 30.4%