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App State at Michigan
Tue Nov 5, 2019
7:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
App State at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 16.5, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | APP | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-8-0 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 9-5-0 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 10-9-0 | 3-14-0 |
App State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Oakland City | -44.5 | W by 38 | -6.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Illinois | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Oregon St | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | NC-Wilmgton | +2.5 | W by 30 | +32.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Murray St | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Austin Peay | -9.5 | W by 20 | +10.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | E Tenn St | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Auburn | +7.5 | W by 5 | +12.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Central Pennsylvania College | -- | W by 76 | -- |
| 12/13 | Away | Queens | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Gard-Webb | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -10.0 | L by 13 | -23.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | UL Monroe | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | S Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Troy | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Coastal Car | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | James Mad | +6.5 | W by 4 | +10.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Georgia St | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Coastal Car | -15.0 | W by 29 | +14.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | GA Southern | -16.0 | W by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | James Mad | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Georgia St | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | GA Southern | -11.0 | W by 1 | -10.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Texas St | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Toledo | -6.5 | W by 5 | -1.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Marshall | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Louisiana | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Old Dominion | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Marshall | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Old Dominion | -14.0 | W by 25 | +11.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Arkansas St | -7.5 | W by 23 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | GA Southern | -12.5 | W by 5 | -7.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Arkansas St | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| MICH -16.5 | Open | -23.0 | High | -23.0 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -16.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 712 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 675 times (94.8%).
- The team like Appalachian St. won the game 37 times (5.2%).
- The team like Appalachian St. did better against the spread, going 356-346-10 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 6.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 1-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 11.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -16.5 | -16.5 | -16.5 |
| Open | -18.5 | -18.5 | -18.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/05 06:48 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 05:54 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 05:01 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 04:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/05 04:05 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 11/05 03:05 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 11/05 03:01 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 01:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/05 01:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/05 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 11/05 12:52 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 12:26 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 11/05 11:04 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/05 10:56 AM | -- | -- | -16.0 |
| 11/05 10:55 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 10:28 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 11/05 10:04 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 11/05 09:45 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 11/05 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -17.5 |
| 11/05 09:37 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 07:34 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 02:35 AM | -- | -- | -17.5 |
| 11/04 10:54 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 11/04 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -18.0 |
| 11/04 10:44 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 11/04 10:36 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 09:04 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 11/04 08:15 PM | -- | -- | -18.0 |
| 11/04 07:36 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 06:54 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 11/04 06:27 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 06:25 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/04 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -18.0 |
| 11/04 06:04 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/04 05:51 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 05:24 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/04 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -18.5 |
| 11/04 05:11 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 03:34 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/04 03:26 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
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