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Xavier at Cincinnati
Sat Dec 14, 2024
2:00pm ET
Cincinnati, OH
Xavier at Cincinnati: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Cincinnati by 8, Total Points: 146.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | XAV | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-0 | 14-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-0 | 9-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-9-0 | 10-8-0 | |
| Away | 6-8-0 | 4-11-0 |
Xavier Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Marist | -13.0 | W by 4 | -9.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Le Moyne | -25.0 | W by 5 | -20.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Santa Clara | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Iowa | +15.0 | L by 19 | -4.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Old Dominion | -10.5 | W by 30 | +19.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Georgia | +10.5 | L by 1 | +9.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | West Virginia | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Texas A&M-CC | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | St Francis PA | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Cincinnati | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Missouri St | -18.5 | W by 18 | -0.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 41 | -43.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Georgetown | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | UConn | +11.5 | L by 23 | -11.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | DePaul | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Marquette | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Providence | (Pick) | W by 13 | +13.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Butler | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Creighton | +8.0 | L by 1 | +7.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | St John's | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | Seton Hall | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | DePaul | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | UConn | +17.0 | L by 32 | -15.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | St John's | +16.0 | L by 5 | +11.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Villanova | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Butler | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Providence | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Georgetown | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Villanova | +11.5 | L by 13 | -1.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Marquette | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | UConn | +17.5 | L by 25 | -7.5 |
Cincinnati Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | W Carolina | -22.0 | W by 31 | +9.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Georgia St | -29.5 | W by 10 | -19.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Dayton | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Mt St Mary's | -25.5 | W by 17 | -8.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisville | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | NJIT | -34.5 | W by 27 | -7.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | E Michigan | -22.5 | L by 8 | -30.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Tarleton St | -25.0 | W by 18 | -7.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Xavier | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Georgia | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Alabama St | -21.0 | W by 37 | +16.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Clemson | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Lipscomb | -13.5 | W by 27 | +13.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Houston | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | West Virginia | (Pick) | L by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | UCF | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Colorado | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Iowa St | +5.0 | W by 9 | +14.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Arizona | +13.5 | L by 26 | -12.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Arizona St | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Baylor | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Houston | +14.5 | L by 22 | -7.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | West Virginia | -5.5 | L by 5 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | UCF | -4.5 | W by 20 | +15.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Kansas St | -2.5 | W by 29 | +26.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Utah | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Kansas | +8.5 | W by 16 | +24.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Texas Tech | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Oklahoma St | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | BYU | -1.5 | W by 22 | +20.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | TCU | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Utah | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | UCF | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| CIN -8.0 | Open | -8.0 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2630 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Cincinnati won the game 2069 times (78.7%).
- The team like Xavier won the game 561 times (21.3%).
- The team like Cincinnati did better against the spread, going 1281-1278-71 (50.1% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3607 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Cincinnati did better against the spread, going 1773-1767-67 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -8.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/14 01:25 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/14 01:05 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/14 12:10 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 11:55 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/14 10:15 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/14 10:10 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 09:45 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/14 09:42 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 09:05 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/14 07:55 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/14 01:25 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/14 12:09 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 09:55 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/13 05:05 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/13 04:54 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 04:04 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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