NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring XAV DEP
Points 86.1 68.4
Total Points   154.5
Points From 2-Pointers 45.6 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 17.6
Points From Free Throws 14.8 13.7
Shooting XAV DEP
Field Goals Made 31.3 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 56.0
Field Goal % 50.5% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 14.8 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 18.6
Free Throw % 75.8% 73.8%
Ball Control XAV DEP
Rebounds 38.0 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 6.8
Turnovers 9.2 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.5
Steals 7.4 4.8
Fouls 15.7 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats XAV DEP
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 67.0
% of Possessions with XAV DEP
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 22.1%
Player Fouled 19.5% 21.7%
Turnover 12.7% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken XAV DEP
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 19.8%