NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring XAV CREI
Points 70.8 84.3
Total Points   155.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.8 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 28.7
Points From Free Throws 9.2 12.6
Shooting XAV CREI
Field Goals Made 28.0 31.0
Field Goals Attempted 70.4 61.8
Field Goal % 39.7% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.4 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 9.2 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.1 15.6
Free Throw % 75.8% 80.8%
Ball Control XAV CREI
Rebounds 35.4 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.4
Turnovers 7.0 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.8
Steals 5.7 3.3
Fouls 13.9 11.0

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats XAV CREI
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 76.9 71.1
% of Possessions with XAV CREI
2 Point Attempt 62.8% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 32.3%
Player Fouled 15.1% 19.0%
Turnover 9.5% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 4.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken XAV CREI
Shot Blocked 7.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 22.9%