NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring XAV CREI
Points 70.3 83.7
Total Points   154.0
Points From 2-Pointers 45.0 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 28.3
Points From Free Throws 8.9 12.5
Shooting XAV CREI
Field Goals Made 28.0 30.9
Field Goals Attempted 70.7 61.7
Field Goal % 39.6% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 61.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 8.9 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 11.8 15.6
Free Throw % 75.8% 80.2%
Ball Control XAV CREI
Rebounds 35.6 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.4
Turnovers 7.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.9
Steals 5.8 3.4
Fouls 13.9 10.8

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats XAV CREI
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 76.9 71.1
% of Possessions with XAV CREI
2 Point Attempt 63.2% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 32.5%
Player Fouled 14.7% 18.9%
Turnover 9.6% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 4.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken XAV CREI
Shot Blocked 8.0% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 22.9%