NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring XAV MARQ
Points 72.4 82.3
Total Points   154.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 46.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 24.7
Points From Free Throws 13.5 11.4
Shooting XAV MARQ
Field Goals Made 25.6 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 62.4
Field Goal % 41.9% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 13.5 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 16.6
Free Throw % 75.8% 68.8%
Ball Control XAV MARQ
Rebounds 37.1 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.3
Turnovers 12.7 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 5.1
Steals 5.6 7.2
Fouls 13.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats XAV MARQ
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 72.3
% of Possessions with XAV MARQ
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 28.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.8%
Turnover 17.4% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken XAV MARQ
Shot Blocked 8.3% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 24.6%