NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SMU TAM
Points 76.0 80.8
Total Points   156.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 22.6
Points From Free Throws 12.6 18.8
Shooting SMU TAM
Field Goals Made 27.5 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 66.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 12.6 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 26.4
Free Throw % 68.6% 71.3%
Ball Control SMU TAM
Rebounds 35.6 44.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 19.2
Turnovers 9.8 8.0
Blocked Shots 5.6 5.3
Steals 4.7 6.4
Fouls 16.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SMU TAM
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 82.1
% of Possessions with SMU TAM
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 26.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 23.3%
Turnover 13.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SMU TAM
Shot Blocked 8.3% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 44.9%