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Cal Poly at UC Davis
Thu Dec 5, 2024
9:00pm ET
Davis, CA
Cal Poly at UC Davis: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UC Davis by 2.5, Total Points: 158.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CP | adv | UCD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-11-1 | 17-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-6-0 | 12-9-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-1-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 7-4-1 | 9-6-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 8-8-1 |
Cal Poly Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Away | USC | +25.0 | L by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/05 | Home | Pacific Lutheran | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 11/08 | Away | Seattle | +10.0 | W by 2 | +12.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Colorado St | +18.5 | L by 14 | +4.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Montana | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Utah | +14.0 | W by 7 | +21.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | N Arizona | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | SE Missouri St | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Redlands | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 12/04 | Away | CS Fullerton | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UC Riverside | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Montana St | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | UCLA | +24.5 | L by 21 | +3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Idaho | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | UCSD | +8.5 | W by 2 | +10.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Long Beach St | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 01/08 | Away | CS Northridge | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | UC Davis | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Hawai'i | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | UCSB | +8.5 | L by 40 | -31.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | CS Fullerton | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | CS Bakersfield | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | UC Riverside | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | CS Northridge | +2.0 | L by 1 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | UC Davis | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | UC Irvine | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | UCSB | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | Hawai'i | +11.0 | W by 11 | +22.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Long Beach St | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | UCSD | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | UC Irvine | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | CS Bakersfield | -9.5 | W by 32 | +22.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | UCSD | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
UC Davis Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Menlo College | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | N Dakota St | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Portland | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Sacramento St | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Nevada | +12.5 | W by 4 | +16.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Colorado | +14.5 | L by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Louisiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Hawai'i | +9.0 | L by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Oregon | +14.0 | L by 42 | -28.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Seattle | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Idaho St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Pacific Union | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 01/01 | Home | CS Northridge | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | CS Bakersfield | -9.5 | L by 2 | -11.5 |
| 01/08 | Away | UCSB | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Cal Poly | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | CS Fullerton | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | UC Irvine | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | UCSD | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | UC Riverside | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | CS Northridge | +3.5 | L by 16 | -12.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | CS Bakersfield | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | UCSB | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Cal Poly | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | UCSD | +5.5 | L by 17 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Long Beach St | -5.0 | W by 17 | +12.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | CS Fullerton | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | UC Riverside | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Hawai'i | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Long Beach St | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | UC Irvine | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | UCSB | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | CS Fullerton | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| UCD -2.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3351 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like UC Davis won the game 1924 times (57.4%).
- The team like Cal Poly SLO won the game 1427 times (42.6%).
- The team like UC Davis did better against the spread, going 1648-1648-55 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4428 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Cal Poly SLO did better against the spread, going 2185-2164-79 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/05 08:55 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/05 08:46 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:40 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:15 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/05 05:06 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 05:05 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/05 04:54 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 04:36 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 04:15 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/05 03:40 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 03:18 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 02:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:05 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/05 08:35 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/05 12:05 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/04 11:15 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/04 11:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:55 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/04 10:54 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 07:45 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/04 05:06 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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