NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CP UCI
Points 60.7 78.4
Total Points   139.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 46.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 13.2
Points From Free Throws 13.0 18.9
Shooting CP UCI
Field Goals Made 21.0 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 57.1
Field Goal % 38.3% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 44.4
2 Point Shooting % 39.7% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 12.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 13.0 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 25.0
Free Throw % 70.9% 75.7%
Ball Control CP UCI
Rebounds 28.3 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 12.1
Turnovers 11.8 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.4
Steals 4.2 5.9
Fouls 17.2 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: UC Irvine

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CP UCI
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 72.4
% of Possessions with CP UCI
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 52.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 15.1%
Player Fouled 23.3% 24.5%
Turnover 16.8% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CP UCI
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 36.7%