NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CP CSN
Points 87.9 90.7
Total Points   178.5
Points From 2-Pointers 25.5 50.8
Points From 3-Pointers 44.2 24.4
Points From Free Throws 18.2 15.4
Shooting CP CSN
Field Goals Made 27.5 33.6
Field Goals Attempted 64.8 68.7
Field Goal % 42.4% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.8 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 22.2 44.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 42.6 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 18.2 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 23.1
Free Throw % 80.2% 66.6%
Ball Control CP CSN
Rebounds 37.6 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.3
Turnovers 13.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.8
Steals 6.5 6.3
Fouls 17.2 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: CS Northridge

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CP CSN
Total Possessions 82.4
Effective Scoring Chances 79.1 83.3
% of Possessions with CP CSN
2 Point Attempt 23.7% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 45.4% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.9%
Turnover 16.5% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CP CSN
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 31.1%