NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SMU MEM
Points 79.4 78.0
Total Points   157.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 23.3
Points From Free Throws 13.0 16.6
Shooting SMU MEM
Field Goals Made 28.6 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 67.9 60.0
Field Goal % 42.1% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 13.0 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 22.9
Free Throw % 68.6% 72.7%
Ball Control SMU MEM
Rebounds 40.7 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 17.4 12.8
Turnovers 11.2 12.6
Blocked Shots 6.0 6.0
Steals 7.7 7.5
Fouls 16.2 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Methodist

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SMU MEM
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 79.8 73.8
% of Possessions with SMU MEM
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 25.4%
Player Fouled 18.2% 22.0%
Turnover 15.2% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SMU MEM
Shot Blocked 10.3% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 41.4% 35.4%