NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PSU OSU
Points 69.7 73.5
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 15.9
Points From Free Throws 14.5 16.9
Shooting PSU OSU
Field Goals Made 24.1 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 56.3
Field Goal % 40.4% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 14.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 22.4
Free Throw % 74.9% 75.2%
Ball Control PSU OSU
Rebounds 32.5 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.4
Turnovers 9.6 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.8
Steals 5.9 4.8
Fouls 17.0 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PSU OSU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 70.4
% of Possessions with PSU OSU
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 21.3%
Player Fouled 21.6% 23.8%
Turnover 13.4% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PSU OSU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 30.8%