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Penn St at Illinois
Tue Jan 19, 2021
8:30pm ET
Champaign, IL
Penn St at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois by 10, Total Points: 154
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-14-2 | 21-14-3 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-2 | 13-9-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-0-2 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-2-2 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 7-9-2 | |
| Away | 8-7-2 | 14-5-1 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Delaware St | -19.5 | W by 34 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lehigh | -17.5 | W by 9 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -30.5 | W by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Morehead St | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Butler | (Pick) | L by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | VCU | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bucknell | -21.5 | L by 9 | -30.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ohio St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rider | -13.5 | W by 27 | +13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan St | +13.5 | L by 31 | -17.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Michigan | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wisconsin | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio St | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Rutgers | +7.5 | W by 15 | +22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana | +7.0 | W by 14 | +21.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Iowa | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Nebraska | +8.0 | L by 19 | -11.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Illinois | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Iowa | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Michigan | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Indiana | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| ILL -10.0 | Open | -8.0 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2099 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois won the game 1733 times (82.6%).
- The team like Penn St. won the game 366 times (17.4%).
- The team like Penn St. did better against the spread, going 1045-1022-32 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 55 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 33-22 (60.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.0 | -10.0 | -10.0 |
| Open | -8.0 | -8.0 | -8.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/19 08:29 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 07:38 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 06:56 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 06:20 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 05:14 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 04:38 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 03:38 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 02:47 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 02:26 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 01:47 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 01:34 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 01/19 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/19 12:53 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 12:35 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 10:44 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/19 10:38 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 10:26 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/19 09:50 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 09:44 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 01/19 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 01/19 09:05 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 08:37 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 07:50 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 07:14 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/19 02:44 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/19 12:40 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 01/18 10:24 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/18 09:22 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:14 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:05 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:54 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/18 05:44 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
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