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Penn St vs. Texas
Sat Mar 18, 2023
7:45pm ET
Des Moines, IA
(Neutral Site)
Penn St vs. Texas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas by 5.5, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | TEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-14-2 | 14-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-2 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-0-2 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-2-2 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Away | 8-7-2 | 7-9-0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Delaware St | -19.5 | W by 34 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lehigh | -17.5 | W by 9 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -30.5 | W by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Morehead St | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Butler | (Pick) | L by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | VCU | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bucknell | -21.5 | L by 9 | -30.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ohio St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rider | -13.5 | W by 27 | +13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan St | +13.5 | L by 31 | -17.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Michigan | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wisconsin | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio St | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Rutgers | +7.5 | W by 15 | +22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana | +7.0 | W by 14 | +21.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Iowa | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Nebraska | +8.0 | L by 19 | -11.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Illinois | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Iowa | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Michigan | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Indiana | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Incar Word | -31.0 | W by 32 | +1.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Delaware St | -32.5 | W by 27 | -5.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Rice | -20.5 | W by 16 | -4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Louisville | -17.5 | W by 1 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Connecticut | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Wyoming | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Texas St | -19.5 | W by 19 | -0.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Marquette | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Hsn Christian | -33.0 | W by 27 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | LSU | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -23.5 | W by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -15.5 | W by 35 | +19.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | TX-Arlington | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Cincinnati | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | W Virginia | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | UCF | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Oklahoma | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | BYU | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Houston | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX Christian | +4.5 | W by 11 | +15.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Iowa St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | W Virginia | -13.0 | W by 36 | +23.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Houston | +10.0 | L by 21 | -11.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Kansas St | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 19 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Texas Tech | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Oklahoma St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | Baylor | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Oklahoma | -5.5 | W by 14 | +8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kansas St | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| TEX -5.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 832 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas won the game 584 times (70.2%).
- The team like Penn St. won the game 248 times (29.8%).
- The team like Texas did better against the spread, going 421-402-9 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4192 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas did better against the spread, going 2070-2047-75 (50.3% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -- |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/18 08:16 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 08:03 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/18 07:58 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:26 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:13 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 07:03 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 06:52 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 06:31 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 06:14 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 06:13 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 05:44 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 05:05 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 03:33 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 02:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 02:43 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 02:43 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 02:03 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 02:02 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 01:53 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 01:33 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 01:26 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 12:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 12:04 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 11:50 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 11:24 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 11:20 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 11:14 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 10:41 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 10:34 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 10:24 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/18 10:02 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 08:56 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:56 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 06:22 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 03:55 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 03:22 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 01:01 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 09:52 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 04:23 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 01:11 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 09:11 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 08:49 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 12:34 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
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