NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PSU CLEM
Points 68.7 75.7
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 18.8
Points From Free Throws 16.0 16.5
Shooting PSU CLEM
Field Goals Made 22.4 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 55.9
Field Goal % 39.0% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 16.0 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 21.2
Free Throw % 74.9% 77.8%
Ball Control PSU CLEM
Rebounds 31.3 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.7
Turnovers 8.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.9
Steals 6.4 4.3
Fouls 15.5 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PSU CLEM
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 69.1
% of Possessions with PSU CLEM
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 24.8%
Player Fouled 21.8% 21.8%
Turnover 12.5% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PSU CLEM
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 27.2%