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Penn St at Michigan
Wed Jan 22, 2020
7:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Penn St at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 4.5, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-14-2 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-2 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-0-2 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-2-2 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 8-7-2 | 3-14-0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Delaware St | -19.5 | W by 34 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lehigh | -17.5 | W by 9 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -30.5 | W by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Morehead St | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Butler | (Pick) | L by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | VCU | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bucknell | -21.5 | L by 9 | -30.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ohio St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rider | -13.5 | W by 27 | +13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan St | +13.5 | L by 31 | -17.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Michigan | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wisconsin | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio St | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Rutgers | +7.5 | W by 15 | +22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana | +7.0 | W by 14 | +21.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Iowa | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Nebraska | +8.0 | L by 19 | -11.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Illinois | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Iowa | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Michigan | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Indiana | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| MICH -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2970 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 1967 times (66.2%).
- The team like Penn St. won the game 1003 times (33.8%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 1501-1421-48 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4356 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 2153-2117-86 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/22 06:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 06:07 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:33 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 04:40 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 03:51 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 03:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/22 03:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 03:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/22 02:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 01:27 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:33 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:03 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:09 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:18 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 09:34 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:50 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 07:12 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:50 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 02:54 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 02:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/22 02:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/21 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/21 08:32 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 07:00 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/21 05:55 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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