NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NKU UIC
Points 69.8 74.2
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 29.5
Points From Free Throws 16.9 10.4
Shooting NKU UIC
Field Goals Made 23.8 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 58.3
Field Goal % 40.9% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 16.9 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 15.1
Free Throw % 73.1% 68.8%
Ball Control NKU UIC
Rebounds 35.0 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.2
Turnovers 11.4 13.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 6.0
Steals 8.0 5.7
Fouls 13.0 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: N Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NKU UIC
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 68.0
% of Possessions with NKU UIC
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 33.9%
Player Fouled 22.3% 17.6%
Turnover 15.5% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NKU UIC
Shot Blocked 10.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 24.0%