NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NKU CLEVST
Points 73.9 75.7
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 19.8
Points From Free Throws 16.9 11.4
Shooting NKU CLEVST
Field Goals Made 25.6 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 62.9
Field Goal % 45.2% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 16.9 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 17.2
Free Throw % 73.1% 65.8%
Ball Control NKU CLEVST
Rebounds 34.9 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.7
Turnovers 11.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.6
Steals 5.9 6.9
Fouls 13.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NKU CLEVST
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 74.3
% of Possessions with NKU CLEVST
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 26.0%
Player Fouled 23.1% 18.6%
Turnover 16.2% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NKU CLEVST
Shot Blocked 7.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 33.9%