NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SYR ND
Points 71.6 68.0
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 26.2
Points From Free Throws 13.4 10.3
Shooting SYR ND
Field Goals Made 26.1 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 56.8
Field Goal % 45.9% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 14.0
Free Throw % 72.8% 73.7%
Ball Control SYR ND
Rebounds 30.7 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 10.5
Turnovers 8.9 14.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.1
Steals 8.4 5.1
Fouls 12.3 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SYR ND
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 65.9
% of Possessions with SYR ND
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 29.6%
Player Fouled 19.7% 17.6%
Turnover 12.9% 20.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 12.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SYR ND
Shot Blocked 3.8% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 30.8%